Tag Archives: home sales

What’s Going on With the Market

The greater Seattle real estate market continues to show signs of a healthier, balanced market. While prices were down in January, we began to see the return of multiple offer situations. A lot of homes that were sitting on the market for a long period of time (60+ days) went pending, which is a good sign, but also shows why our Days on Market increased significantly in January. For example, in Seattle 364 single family homes sold in January for an average of 53 days on market. Of those 364, 110 sold in 0-14 days, 44 15-29 days, 66 in 30-59 days, and 144 in 60+ days. 

What this is telling us is that homes that have been priced properly are still selling quickly and that homes that have been sitting on the market have either had price reductions or sellers have accepted lower offers in order to get their homes sold. We see this when we look at sales to list price ratio, which at 98.1% for Seattle in January, means that sellers are taking lower offers. Additionally, with so much of the older inventory selling, we are seeing less homes available on the market, and with inventory low, the market still favors the seller.

Pricing properly is the key to getting your hold sold quickly and when you work with me, I will be analyzing the market daily to determine the best price at which to list your property.

For buyers, interest rates seem to have settled down, and even gone down a little. The Fed has said they don’t plan on raising interest rates again for awhile. This, coupled with lower sales prices, means it’s a great time for you to get in the market. 

For additional information or for a complimentary market analysis of your home, please call or text: (206) 790-0081 or send an email to Jamie@JamieFlaxman.com

Shift in the Market?

We are seeing a shift in the market, but it’s not a cause for alarm. This shift is a balancing. We have reached the point where prices have hit the top and now they’re settling down. A recent article from CityLab.com explains it well:

“Housing prices are cooking. Across the nation, the price of homes is rising faster than the rate of inflation—in some places by a factor of three. That’s true of high-cost cities such as Seattle and San Francisco and lower-cost cities such as Charlotte and Tampa alike. And the overheated market for homes is costing the middle class the American dream.

Nationwide, the price for homes is approaching the zenith seen in 2006, just before the market fell into a foreclosure crisis and the economy sank into the Great Recession. . . 

But there are key differences between the housing peak in 2006 and the housing peak today. This surge in housing prices is not necessarily evidence for a bubble—much less any indication that a bubble is about to burst.

Late in July, the S&P CoreLogic Case–Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index tracked a 6.4 percent annual gain in home prices for May 2018. This index has recorded year-over-year increases of at least 5 percent every month since August 2016—a sign of the strength of the recovery. . . . in Seattle, which saw a year-over-year price increase of 13.6 percent for May, home prices are already well above the 2006 high-water mark.

But since most workers aren’t earning 6 percent raises year after year, eventually this party has to come to an end. (Indeed, for four-fifths of privately employed workers, wages are actually falling.) Housing prices will stabilize or soften because they have nowhere else to go. The prevailing trend is unsustainable. “If something can’t go on forever, sooner or later it will end,” says David Blitzer, managing director for S&P Dow Jones Indices. With mortgage rates and prices rising, sales in both new homes and existing homes are starting to slow. ‘Either buyers have gone for the summer, because it’s too hot to look at housing, or they’re pausing to see what’s going on,’ Blitzer says. ‘If the pause continues, you’ll see sales go down.'”

And this is what we’re now seeing in Seattle. Most homes are not selling in 7 days and significantly above list price right now. I’m seeing a significant increase in price reductions and less multiple offer situations as well.

What does this mean for you? If you’re a buyer, this is all good news. It means you may be able to get into the market without a bidding war and having to look at homes significantly below your price point.

If you’re a seller, it’s not a time to panic. This shift is actually creating a healthier market. You probably will get less for your home than if you listed 6 months ago. But you probably will still have significant profits if you sell as prices are at record highs. We still have a significant shortage of housing so even with the increased inventory, demand still outweighs supply. Inventory levels are still under 2 months which means it’s a seller’s market – a balanced market would be 4-6 months, and a buyer’s market would be greater than 6 months.

As I’ve said often, there’s no crystal ball in real estate. In my predictions for 2018, I said price increases would slow down. In fact, year over year prices are still up about 11%. I also predicted interest rates would hit 5% before year-end; we have already hit this number which is reducing buying power for buyers.

If you’re thinking of buying, this is the time to get pre-approved and start your buying process. If you’re a seller, I’d be moving quickly to get your home on the market while prices are still at the peak. Please call me at 206-790-0081 or email me at Jamie@JamieFlaxman.com for a complimentary market analysis for your home.

Marketing Plans

This morning I’ve been working on marketing plans for two different sellers, so I thought I’d share with you what goes into a plan.

First, no two plans are identical. Price range, location, timing, features of the home – all of this comes into consideration.

It all starts with pricing. I will do a market analysis to determine a recommended price range for your home. I don’t rely on automated values, but look at actual listings and sales, market activity, and market conditions. If we don’t price your home properly, no matter how great the marketing materials, it probably won’t sell. With our current market, you definitely don’t want to overprice your home.

The first thing I look at is if your home meets the criteria for Coldwell Banker Global Luxury. This is based on zip code and condition/features of the home. If your home qualifies, it will be included in Coldwell Banker’s luxury marketing materials.

Are staging and landscaping necessary for your home? We want your home to show at its best. All homes I list will have high definition professional photography, and then depending on many factors, some form of video. That video might be a video tour, a live walk-through video, a 3-D Matterport video, and/or a neighborhood video. Most listings will have drone photos as well.

The photos and video will be used for all the online marketing, including the listing itself and its syndication, social media, and websites. Photos will also be used for print marketing such as home flyers/brochures and mailings to neighbors and targeted buyers.

Most listings will have 3-4 open houses during the first week on market. I also network to my local sphere of real estate brokers.

Want to know what a marketing plan for your home might look like? Give me a call at 206-790-0081 or email to chat.

Why You Should Sell Now

Rising home prices, demand from home buyers, less competition, and low interest rates are making 2015 a stellar year to sell for many home owners across the country, and especially in our hot Seattle market.

There are 4 factors behind why this year is shaping up more favorably for sellers:

1. Strong demand from buyers. Millenials and first time buyers are out in force, driven by our growing job market and low interest rates. Those who lost homes to foreclosure or short sale during the downturn are returning to the market as well.

2. Prices are skyrocketing. So far in 2015, appreciation is at its highest rate since 2007. City-wide for Seattle, prices have appreciated 12% from June 2014 to June 2015, with some neighborhoods much higher.

3. Sellers have less competition. Inventory continues to be extremely tight, with less than a months inventory in most Seattle neighborhoods. The number of buyers far outweigh the number the sellers.

4. Interest rates are increasing. Although rates continue to be extremely low (hovering around 4%), just a couple weeks ago we saw rates closing in on 4.5%. Experts around the country are continuing to predict that we’ll see rates around 5% by early 2016. As rates increase, buying power decreases.

To learn more about selling your home, contact me at (206) 790-0081 or jamie@jamieflaxman.com. You can also download some information on selling here.

Information for this post adapted from http://realtormag.realtor.org/daily-news/2015/07/24/3-reasons-why-its-great-time-for-sellers#sf11309959.

Seattle Market Update

The Puget Sound housing market picked up in May with greater inventory, but demand is still very high. Most new listings are receiving multiple offers with many significantly escalating above list price.

The chart above shows activity in the city of Seattle for single family homes and condos combined. The number of homes for sale increased 14.3% over April, but the level was slightly below that of a year ago. The number of sales closing was up 4.4% over April but down 12% from a year ago.

While less homes are selling, prices are up over last year. Combined single family homes and condos in Seattle are up 4.4% over a year ago. On average homes sold at 100% of list price.

Inventory remains extremely low, at 1.4 months worth in May. That is, if no homes came on the market, the current inventory would be gone in about 6 weeks. In May last year that inventory was at 1.2 months.

However, when you look at specific neighborhoods, the numbers can be dramatically different. For example, Wallingford, a high demand neighborhood. Prices on sold homes and condos were up 8.2% from a year ago, with an average sales price of $620,000. Homes in Wallingford average a sales price of 105% of listing price. And inventory in Wallingford was at 0.7 months in May, approximately 3 weeks worth.

For further information, please give me a call or email. I’m happy to provide you with a market update for your neighborhood or city.